Tuesday, July 17, 2012

“Of crisis, hope and paradigm shifts: Emperor of All Maladies!”




                       
                  It is indeed beyond superlative degree of fashion and the spirit of passion that the word crisis is being increasingly used in organizing academic, chambers of commerce or government conferences. Then we start to believe that crisis is there to stay forever. Of course there are many types of crisis facing our daily lives. Huge challenges of food security, governance reforms, poverty, education & employment opportunities, infrastructure development, and health care facilities are all the impending challenges and the failure to respond to those is already translating into one of the biggest crises of our country in the making. The audacity with which we embrace vision documents being circulated every now and then in those conferences merely touches the inner core of crisis i.e. what were the reasons for it. And suppose if someone advises to forget causality and respect uncertainty then he/she would be lectured by people in rational think tanks to shut up because it will add chaos and confusion to the process of scenario building about their strategic equations. 

SIDHARTHA MUKHERJEE

              Perception of crisis is undeniably related to our projection of hope  about life we are living. Recently when asked about what it means to die at early age due to cancer, Siddhartha Mukherjee1 uttered, Question of what exists and how life should be beyond certain time extends forever; you should rather figure out what to do because our lives are stitched together through memories. Thus question of beyond is abstract question, rather ask question what is now, what is next, what u want... Hope is negotiable; there are no archetypal/standard/classic hopes. Why then the hope should be absolute? People`s hope change over time and surely hope is negotiable.” Then he continues to say that why we are spending millions of rupees on military when we direly need investment in life saving drugs to prevent or to cure cancer.2  




The economist William Baumol calls this "a touch of madness." You can see that venture capitalists do better than entrepreneurs, but publishers do better than writers, dealers do better than artists, and science does better than scientists (about 50 percent of scientific and scholarly papers, costing months, sometimes years, of effort, are never truly read). The person involved in such gambles is paid in a currency other than material success: hope. As a matter of fact, your happiness depends far more on the number of instances of positive feelings, what psychologists call "positive affect," than on their intensity when they hit. In other words, good news is good news first; how good matters rather little. 3



PAUL FORMAN
THOMAS KUHN


     

This reminded me of three persons and one book. First Steve Jobs; who died due to curable cancer. He, in later life transformed crisis in his life into assets, turning the frustration of professional failure into something crucible of creativity. Secondly Thomas Kuhn who also died because of lung cancer and is remembered for legendary work on scientific revolutions through abrupt changes in paradigms of knowledge determining the extension or contraction of subject boundaries. Paradigm is explanatory model which comprises scientific concepts, methods, facts and assumptions. Kuhn theorized that instead of altering ways of thought gradually and progressively, dramatic paradigm shift in scientific beliefs could occur with unexpected suddenness. This shift from intellectual framework to another could result by accumulation of awkward facts that fit poorly with an existing theory when body of ill-fitting facts was two weighty to reconcile with the orthodox world-view. Thus a new framework would be developed to replace it and consensus would tip towards new position. If new world view were radical enough, the old one might even become incomprehensible and incommensurable in the words of Kuhn. 4


          
              Thirdly, I am reminded of one book which recently I came across. The book I tumbled upon was about how scientific feuds contributed to the evolution of knowledge system in modern times.5 It expresses the process of scientific enquiry in following words: “Nature of science means that conflict is built into its DNA. Since in its purest form is a process of trial and error: hypotheses are formed through observation and experiment, and then these hypotheses are tested with further observation and experiments. If they are supported they become theories—true models of how world works, perhaps even laws of nature—but even most solid theory can be revised or overturned of new evidence comes to light. This ideal of scientific method has lead some theorist of science to apply Darwinian ideas of natural selection to science itself; ideas are engaged in a constant battle for survival in which only fittest will prosper.”

           Fourthly, this all discussion about crisis and hope also reminds us of great thinker Paul Forman and his thesis. Paul Forman is an historian of science and a curator of the Division of Medicine and Science at the National Museum of American History. Let us keep in mind classical, rational way of investigating science and then reflect on how Forman introduces his thesis about peculiar German connection to the dynamics of quantum mechanics discovery in 1920s and 30s. 



                He says: “In the aftermath of Germany`s defeat the dominant intellectual tendency in the Wiemer academic was a neo-romantic, existentialist ‘philosophy of life’, reveling in crisis and characterized by antagonism towards analytic rationality generally and towards the exact sciences and their technical implications particularly. Implicitly or explicitly, the scientist was the whipping boy of the incessant exhortations to spiritual renewal, while the concept-or the mere word-‘causality’ symbolized all that odious in scientific enterprise.” 6 Further, a sense of spiralling social crisis affected all aspects of life, including science. It particularly inspired widespread discussion about the ‘crisis in science’, which encouraged some scientists to question the conceptual foundations of their respective disciplines.

               In a way Germany sought to build future out of its past by rejecting utilitarian standards of her conquerors, to re-establish itself on the cultural level as the leader of a new Europe. Mathematical education in schools was replaced by intuitive ways and cultural methods. Weiman Hendry, another historian, sheds more light on the nuances of the debate started by Forman.7 Weimar says that, “We are often reminded that history of ideas is rarely straightforward. For while there were indeed many attacks upon mathematics and physics from outside these disciplines, these were in all cases attacks upon their value, rather than upon their content. (In Germany) Causal approach to social sciences was attacked as being inapplicable to their particular subject matter.” 

           Physics and causality were being attacked by equating both to each other. Those were the times when Einstein declared through correspondence with the peer scientists his reluctance to give up the rationality of science in these words, “…business of causality causes me a lot of trouble too; but would be very unhappy to renounce causality.”



The legendary work of Forman has been under constant review and discussion in recent times.8 Scholars say, “Forman`s thesis has remained at the heart of debates about the historical relationship between science and culture ever since. His work placed at the centre of a broader discussion the argument that the cultural values (especially individuality and clearness) prevalent in a given place and time could influence the results of discipline-bound research, i.e. the very content of scientific knowledge. This idea, if still controversial, has since become commonly used in cultural studies of science, but at the time of its introduction it created uproar as it explicitly contradicted generally accepted and beliefs about science. Yet tectonic shifts were already underway, if not always visible, that would eventually put those very beliefs into question. 

The Forman study both reflected and forwarded these shifts in our general perspectives on the nature and practice of science. Despite some heated objections to its findings, Forman’s work has fundamentally changed directions of research in the history, sociology and philosophy of science and established itself as a classic in this group of fields, sometimes collectively called science studies.9
 


Thus Forman thesis played an important role in the spread of the sociology of scientific knowledge in the 1980s. Many of the pioneers of the new sociological approach referred to the case of quantum acausality as the single most powerful demonstration of the far-reaching influence of social factors on the hard theoretical core of scientific knowledge. 10




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1 Mukherjee, S. (2010). The emperor of all maladies: A biography of cancer. New York: Scribner
2 Transcripts of Tehelka Conference ‘Think Fest’, Goa, India, November 2011
3 Taleb, N. (2007). The black swan: The impact of the highly improbable. New York: Random House
4 Johnston, Sean (2009), History of Science A Beginner's Guide, One World Publishers, ISBN 9781851686810
5 Levy, J. (2010). Scientific feuds: From Galileo to the Human Genome Project. London: New Holland.
6 Forman, P. (1971) ‘Weimar culture, causality, and quantum theory, 1918-1927: Adaptation by German physicists and mathematicians to a hostile intellectual environment’, s.l.:s.n.1971. Print
7 Hendry, J. Weimar (1980), Culture and Quantum Causality, History of Science, Vol. 18, p. 155-180
8 Forman, P., Carson, C., Kozhevnikov, A. B., & Trischler, H. (2011). Weimar culture and quantum mechanics: Selected papers by Paul Forman and contemporary perspectives on the Forman thesis. London: Imperial College Press
9 C. Carson, A. Kojevnikov and H. Trischler (2011), ‘The Forman Thesis: 40 Years After’, Weimar culture and quantum mechanics: Selected papers by Paul Forman and contemporary perspectives on the Forman thesis. London: Imperial College Press
10 Entering the field as trained historians of science, Thomas Kuhn, John L. Heilbron, Paul Forman and Lini Allen embarked in 1961 upon the ambitious project of the Archive for the History of Quantum Physics (AHQP) — not an archive in the usual sense but a comprehensive effort to locate and catalogue an international body of manuscripts and correspondence of several hundred quantum scientists active between approximately 1900 and 1935. Taking a proactive approach to sources, the AHQP project microfilmed many crucial collections, bringing them closer to researchers. It also pioneered the technique of oral history in the history of science by recording interviews with about 100 physicists, including Niels Bohr, Max Born and Werner Heisenberg.